Smart Sports Betting Notes: Sept 5/06
Written by BetWWTS
Major League Baseball enters the final month of the regular season and the divisions are now starting to take shape. The Yankees increased their lead to 9 games over Boston through the Red Sox in-ability to win games against competition out West. I have, since the [...]
Written on January 2nd, 2007
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Smart Sports Betting Notes: Sept 5/06
Written by BetWWTS
Major League Baseball enters the final month of the regular season and the divisions are now starting to take shape. The Yankees increased their lead to 9 games over Boston through the Red Sox in-ability to win games against competition out West. I have, since the All-Star break, been fading Boston as their win total doesn’t match up to their standings. Take away their 16-2 record against National League foe and Boston are in fact a losing team against American league opponents this season.
Injuries have now started to hit Boston with both Big Papi and Manny sitting out games and the starting pitching which was going to be their savior this season and get them over the hump and in particular past the Yankees, now resembles something nearing tramps clothing.
The White Sox closed the deficit with Central division leaders Detroit as the Tigers went just 2-4 this past week against the Yankees and the Angels while the Chi Sox went 3-3. Minnesota lost ground after their series win over the White Sox when losing their 3 game series with the Royals of all teams.
Oakland tightened their grip out West, extending their lead to 7.5 games after sweeping the fading Red Sox while their closest pursuer, the Angels were losing a series with division dwellers, Seattle.
The AL Wildcard now rests firmly between the Twins and the White Sox, but do not rule out Detroit being sucked in to this battle as this head to head confrontation has the makings of going down to the last week and possibly the final weekend. The Twins have a four game set at home against Detroit and three in the dome against Chicago. Detroit also has to travel to the Champions for a three game series. In the Tigers favor is the fact they have not got Boston and/or Oakland to play like both the pursuing rivals have.
The NL Wild card race has eight teams with a realistic chance, but more probably just five. The Astros chances are waning as each week passes with either St Louis or Cincinnati winning. The Red Birds increased their lead in the Central as did the Mets over their closest pursuer, the Phillies. The surprise since the All-Star break has been the consistency shown from the Marlin fledglings as they continue to win games and their recent form has put them right in the picture.
The Dodgers continue to roll and it’s the Padres and Giants from the West that need to continue their winning ways and remain in contention for the division, but more importantly, the wild card.
Moving over to pro pigskin and the preseason is now in the book as the teams prepare this week for their opening games and their run at the Super Bowl. But it was the college boys that grabbed all the headlines this past weekend. Upsets of the week came from Rutgers (5-point dogs) winning straight up 21-16 at North Carolina and little Arkansas State defeating Army as a 4.5-point dog.
It was not such a good week for the underdogs on the whole as the chalk covered the number in 24 of the 43 lined games (2 pushes).
There were comfortable wins for five of the top six ranked teams (Ohio State, Texas, Auburn, West Virginia and USC) with all five covering the number for money. The Fighting Irish came back from a 10-point deficit to beat Georgia 14-10 but lost for their supporters at the windows. How many times will I be saying that this year! Final note: Miami fl lost their home opener as -3.5 point chalk for the first time since 1985, as FSU pulled off the upset in a key ACC confrontation.
Look out for the following trends this week.
NCAAF
Road favorites in Game 2 are 20-61 ATS dating back 25 seasons under the following criteria;
(i) they won 8 or less games the previous year.
(ii) they played their season opener at home.
(iii) they were not favored by more than 6.5 pts in their last game.
MLB
When the posted total is 9 to 9.5 in a game involving two marginal winning teams with a .510 to .540 winning % in Septemeber games, the OVER is 49-12 dating back to the 2001 season.
Click here to bet on all games and view all lines and odds.
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MLB
When the posted total is 9 to 9.5 in a game involving two marginal winning teams with a .510 to .540 winning % in Septemeber games, the OVER is 49-12 dating back to the 2001 season.
Click here to bet on all games and view all lines and odds.
Written on January 2nd, 2007
Read more articles on Sports Betting.